中国石化新闻网讯 据钻机地带3月15日报道，油价收于15个月低点，因技术性抛售和期权回补加速了三日跌势。

受银行业动荡侵蚀石油需求乐观情绪的影响，美国基准股指周二暴跌逾5%。更混乱的是，试图限制自己在期权市场价格下跌中风险敞口的金融公司开始抛售原油期货，这是一种被称为delta对冲的策略。

3月份，西得克萨斯中质原油价格下跌了10%，这促使分析师们想知道，在欧佩克+调整产量配额之前，价格必须下跌多少。尽管欧佩克已表示今年将维持产量不变，但不利因素并不乐观：美国原油库存再次扩大，产能大国出口在制裁面前保持弹性，国际能源署(IEA)预计今年上半年将出现过剩。

“阻力最小的路径显然是油价下跌”，斯通克斯(StoneX)市场分析师法瓦德·拉扎克扎达(Fawad Razaqzada)在一份报告中说。他还说，只要油价保持在每桶70美元以下，“卖家就会继续掌控局面。”

价格：

在纽约，4月份交割的WTI期货每桶下跌3.72美元，收于67.61美元。

布伦特原油5月份结算价下跌3.76美元，收于每桶73.69美元。

直到最近，油价还徘徊在每桶10美元区间的波动范围内，交易员们在激进的货币紧缩和对亚洲需求复苏的乐观情绪之间寻找平衡。如今，随着银行业危机的蔓延，投资者纷纷撤离高风险资产，油价可能还会进一步下跌。

寿琳玲 编译自 钻井地带 网站

原文如下：

Oil Plunges to Lowest Levels in 15 Months

Oil closed at a 15-month low as a wave of technical selling and options covering accelerated a three-day slide.

The US benchmark plunged more than 5% Tuesday, plagued by banking-sector turmoil that’s eroding oil-demand optimism. Adding to the chaos, financial firms trying to limit their exposure to falling prices in the options market began dumping crude futures in a strategy known as delta hedging.

West Texas Intermediate crude has lost 10% of its value in March, prompting analysts to wonder how far prices must fall before OPEC+ adjusts output quotas. While the cartel has said it’ll keep production unchanged this year, headwinds are bearish: US crude stockpiles are expanding again, the largger producer's exports remain resilient in the face of sanctions and the International Energy Agency expects a surplus in the first half of the year.

“The path of least resistance is clearly to the downside for oil,” Fawad Razaqzada, a market analyst at StoneX, said in a note. As long as oil prices stay below $70 a barrel, he added, “the sellers will remain in control.”

Prices:

WTI for April delivery fell $3.72 to settle at $67.61 a barrel in New York

Brent for May settlement dropped $3.76 to settle at $73.69 a barrel

Until recently, oil was stuck in a $10 range with traders balancing aggressive monetary tightening with optimism around the Asian demand recovery. Now, with an unfolding banking crisis driving investors from risky assets, oil may have further to fall.